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NPRโs Moscow and Beijing correspondents discussed how the United Statesโ midterm elections are being read abroad on Tuesday, after the results showed a mixed picture for PresidentโฏTrumpโs party and set the stage for a new Congress in January. Charles Maynes, based in Moscow, and Jennifer Pak, reporting from Beijing, joined host Ayesha Rascoe to explain what the outcomes mean for Russia and China.
The election was closely watched because it could shift the balance of power in Washington on issues that directly affect both countries, such as Ukraine and trade. In Russia, the Kremlin has long preferred a president who appears more open to dialogue with Moscow. The midterms, however, could tighten Democratic scrutiny of Trumpโs ties to Russia and force a recalibration of U.S. policy toward Kyiv. In China, the results come as PresidentโฏXi Jinping prepares for a likely fourth term, while bipartisan pressure in Washington grows to adopt a tougher stance on Beijing. Both capitals are assessing whether any deals struck with Trump will survive a potentially hostile Congress.
Maynes said PresidentโฏVladimirโฏPutin has not commented publicly, but Kremlin spokesman DmitryโฏPeskov reiterated that Russia hopes Trump will keep pushing for peace in Ukraine. The Kremlin pointed to recent humanitarian work by MelaniaโฏTrump and upcoming U.S.-led trilateral talks in AbuโฏDhabi as signs of progress. Senior diplomat SergeiโฏRyabkov added that Moscow views Democrats as fundamentally hostile, suggesting a preference for continued engagement with Trump. Maynes warned that the window for a TrumpโRussia bargain may be closing, as a new Congress could bring tighter oversight of any sanctions relief or concessions on Ukraine.
Pak noted that Beijing is taking a measured tone. The Chinese foreign ministry said it will maintain โbusiness as usualโ and honor the โconstructive strategic stabilityโ framework agreed at the two summits earlier this year. That framework acknowledges competition but calls for predictable relations. Pak stressed that Xiโs focus on securing a fourth term means China will likely continue its current approach, regardless of U.S. partisan swings. However, she warned that a more aggressive Congress could test the durability of any TrumpโXi agreements.
Both correspondents agreed that the midterms have opened a brief period of strategic calculation for Moscow and Beijing. Russia may try to lock in a favorable deal before the new Congress convenes, while China will watch U.S. domestic politics for signs of a shift toward a harder line. How Washingtonโs next legislative session handles Ukraine aid, sanctions, and trade will shape the diplomatic landscape for the coming year.
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